A-Infos (en) Italy, UCADI, #206 - UKRAINE: and yet it moves (the front) (ca, de, it, pt, tr)[machine translation]

The Epstein coalition's aggression against Iran has overshadowed news of 
the war in Ukraine, which has completely disappeared from mainstream 
media , but continues to claim victims, making it appropriate to update 
the situation on the battlefield . Indeed, even websites specializing in 
military coverage of conflicts have focused their attention on the 
conflict in the Middle East, both because of its devastating 
consequences for the geopolitical structure of a vast and sensitive area 
of the planet and because of the economic repercussions of the closure 
of the Strait of Hormuz.
The Ukrainian issue is returning to the forefront, at times, in the form 
of extolling the results of a much-vaunted Ukrainian counteroffensive, 
which supposedly led to "significant" territorial gains, as well as the 
conflict between Zelensky and Orban over Ukrainian sabotage of the 
Druzba gas and oil pipeline, and Orban's subsequent veto blocking the 
disbursement to Ukraine of the non-repayable grant of 90 billion euros 
stolen from European welfare states to continue financing the war, thus 
fueling the theft and endemic corruption prevalent in the country.
The regime press is doing its utmost to express its jubilation over the 
aforementioned territorial gains, resulting from the counterattack 
launched by Syrsky 's army , which involved a large swathe of territory 
on the border between Zaporizhia and Dnipropetrovsk oblasts. This 
counterattack involved a penetration of approximately 18 km in depth, 
affecting 100-150 km² of sparsely populated territory, transformed into 
disputed territory, with both Russian and Ukrainian forces.
In other words, General Syrsky, at Zelensky's request, identified what 
might be called the "soft underbelly" of a 1,000 km front and attempted 
to achieve a quick, if fleeting, success there.
The Russians, for their part, have allowed the Ukrainians to let off 
steam in this area, limiting themselves to containing them, in order to 
concentrate their efforts and resources on the unusually rapid advance 
for this war from Huliajpole, conquered by force, in the direction of 
Orikiv and are dangerously approaching the city of Zaporizhia, advancing 
along the Dnieper.
On another segment of the front, they are focusing their efforts on 
transforming the city of Pokrovsk into a strategic hub to fuel the 
advance toward the Dnipropetrovsk border, moving behind the cities of 
Kramatovsk and Slovyansk. This enveloping maneuver is unfolding while 
the city of Kostiantynivka is surrounded on three sides and has already 
been heavily infiltrated for months by Russian raiders operating in its 
southern and central districts. This is while drones, FABs, and glide 
bombs target the supply routes of the city garrison, which is constantly 
weakened by Russian artillery fire positioned on the highest salients in 
the surrounding territory.
But moving further north, it becomes clear that Russian troops have 
already partially overwhelmed the first fortified defense line of the 
cities of Kramatovsk and Slovyansk on the southeastern front. After 
crossing the Donesk Canal, they have moved within 8 km of their 
objective, putting the two cities within range of artillery, fiber-optic 
drones, glide bombs, FABs, and other weapons. These cities have lost 
their role as logistical hubs feeding the front, having themselves 
become part of the battlefront awaiting the infiltration. The 
administrative authorities of Slovyansk have ordered residents to 
urgently abandon the city. At the same time, the Russians are 
surrounding the city of Lyman on three sides. Lyman is now locked in a 
vise and close to a final assault, with some of its neighborhoods 
already infiltrated by Russian army vanguards.
The only other point of Ukrainian resistance that can be identified is 
the city of Kupyansk, largely retaken by the Ukrainians and where the 
front is now static, while the Russians are combing through pockets of 
Ukrainian troops in the surrounding area east of the Oskil River.
All this is happening while, at Putin's request, the Russian army is 
creating a 20-30 km deep buffer zone on the border with Russia in the 
Kharkiv and Sumy Oblasts to protect the border.
This reconnaissance of the situation on the front, which is by no means 
immobile, as Western analysts claim, but rather slowly moving as a 
result of the Russian strategy aimed at saving as many of its own troops 
as possible while simultaneously waging a war of attrition on the 
Ukrainian army in keeping with the belief that the best enemy is a dead 
one, tells us on the one hand that the objectives Russia claims to be 
pursuing at the negotiating table have almost been achieved on the 
ground: it is only a matter of time before they are finally achieved.
It is therefore natural to ask whether Russia's objectives are still 
those stated in the negotiations or whether it is moving toward a rapid 
realignment, as evidenced by events on the battlefield and some rumors 
leaking out of Moscow, given Ukraine's reluctance to conclude the 
negotiations.
There is no doubt that the war in Ukraine is costly for Russia, and that 
a segment of its establishment , led by Putin himself, would like to end 
the conflict, contenting itself with achieving certain objectives such 
as what will remain of Ukraine, its non-membership in NATO, the 
country's denazification, a military scaled down to numbers compatible 
with a policy of peace and good neighborliness, and tolerance toward the 
canonical Orthodox Church. Meanwhile, territorial demands can be scaled 
down to the boundaries outlined in the negotiations. But within Russia, 
there are those who opt for more radical solutions and believe that 
Russia's true security can only be achieved by acquiring a much larger 
portion of territory. This is simplified in the map we publish below, 
taken from the magazine Limes, but made public by the Russian Military 
General Staff.

As can be seen, the map includes the Kharkiv Oblast, Dnipropetrovsk 
Oblast, the entire Kerson Oblast, Kirivohrad Oblast, Mykolaiv Oblast, 
and Odessa Oblast. This suggests that, unless Ukraine is willing to 
accept a negotiated solution on the terms desired by Russia, the war 
will continue until Russia's objective is achieved, no matter the cost. 
Russia has demonstrated its full intention to persist in seeking a 
solution on the battlefield even if negotiations fail to meet its 
demands, which it considers minimal.
Pursuing this solution to the conflict would, however, marginalize 
Putin's choices and lead to the prevalence within the Russian 
establishment of those hardline elements that push for a continued war 
until the predetermined objectives are achieved, arguing that only this 
radical solution of structural neutralization of Ukraine can prevent 
future conflicts.
Those fanatics aspiring to Punti's death, so numerous among Europe's 
current ruling classes those who call for his poisoning, his succumbing 
to his alleged illnesses, those who hope he doesn't survive the internal 
pressure, and so on would do well to reconsider their calculations, 
given the risk of jumping from the frying pan into the fire and finding 
someone more intransigent in the Kremlin.
If there's one lesson from both the Ukrainian and Iranian crises, it's 
that using "orange revolutions" to destabilize states with the scale of 
an empire and a historical memory that stems from their geographic 
location, their resources, their tradition, and their structural 
composition, is unsuitable for achieving this goal. In other words, the 
theorizations and desires of Brezinski and his cronies and followers on 
the dissolution of Russia and Iran were and are unrealizable dreams due 
to the economic, cultural and strategic factors that guide the 
development of history and relations between states.

The Almoner of Kiev

Addressing the issue of the end of the war, a separate reflection should 
be made on the problems stemming from Kiev's political leadership. 
Zelensky's role as a great almsgiver is over, as evidenced by the fact 
that every time he goes abroad to scout for help, he returns with an 
increasingly empty wallet. He's like the monk in medieval tales who, 
after harassing peasants' wives, is chased by their husbands with 
shovels. The fact is that Ukraine's exorbitant demands, further burdened 
by the profiteering its rulers and oligarchs have made, and continue to 
make, prevents Europe, left alone, from allowing the foolish plan to 
disintegrate Russia, to be implemented by Ukraine, to succeed. The 
country's population is dwindling, its economic and energy 
infrastructure has been disintegrated, and it requires massive 
investments to somehow fuel the front. It is now clear that the 
contractors recruited from around the world, much less the population 
still present in the country, cannot provide sufficient strength to 
continue the battle. However, it is a common Western European mainstream 
practice to maintain that Ukraine will fight to the last man and woman, 
and this is a cynical and criminal plan.
Continuing the war will only allow the most radical segment of the 
Russian leadership to achieve its broader objectives, transforming 
Ukraine into a much smaller state, within Europe, landlocked and 
definitively diminished in its aspirations for development and 
prosperity. The surviving state will become a conglomerate infested with 
the most Nazi-like and violent nationalism, capable of infecting the 
entire continent, pushing it toward self-destruction and drastically 
impoverishing its populations, with the aim of exploiting their 
frustration and resentment to push them into war. It is therefore in the 
interest of the European peoples to cease all funding for the Ukrainian 
war effort.

Gianni Cimbalo

https://www.ucadi.org/2026/03/28/ucraina-eppur-si-muove-il-fronte/
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